Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 9 Mar 2025

📅09/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
46%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.33
Over 2.5
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
28%
2.73
6+ Goals
14%
7.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
7.68
1/2
7%
19.9
1/X
8%
15.6
X/1
14%
10.5
X/2
17%
4.35
X/X
9%
6.24
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.0
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
46%
Away Win
57%
-11.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
+0.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
-0.3pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +17%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.22
+72% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.9
12.4 Crosses 20.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.79 xG 2.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 6
339 Passes 397
81% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 34
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
15.04.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.04.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK
23.10.2022 Galatasaray Galatasaray 2-2 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
1-2
AWAY Galatasaray
0.76 xG 1.64
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
212 Passes 480
75% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 34
21 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray nicked a narrow win over Alanyaspor 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 35% of the ball to Galatasaray's 65%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.76 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.83 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Alanyaspor 1-2 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 31%, draw 23%, Galatasaray 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TSL More Turkey - Super League
9 Mar 2025
13:30 Sivasspor vs Göztepe Analysis →
16:00 Eyüpspor vs Konyaspor Analysis →
16:00 Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor Analysis →