Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Samsunspor v Adana Demirspor — Team-Based Signals
Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-2
Samsunspor
TSL
0-2
HT 0-1
Adana Demirspor
T1L
1-1
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
T1L
1-1
HT 0-0
Samsunspor
T1L
Samsunspor 3-2 Adana Demirspor — Actual Match Statistics
Samsunspor edged past Adana Demirspor 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samsunspor as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Samsunspor had 61% of the ball to Adana Demirspor's 39%, shots finished 20-7, expected goals 2.56 to 0.28 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Samsunspor's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Samsunspor had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Samsunspor and 1.33 for Adana Demirspor.
What was the final score of Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor?
Samsunspor 3-2 Adana Demirspor in the Turkey - Super League on 09/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Samsunspor vs Adana Demirspor?
Before kick-off our model rated a Samsunspor win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Samsunspor 65%, draw 19%, Adana Demirspor 16%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samsunspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.