Galatasaray 3-1 Alanyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.33
Draw
19%
4.81
Away
12%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.43
Over 2.5
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.89
2-3 Goals
38%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.65
6+ Goals
16%
6.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.55
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.95
X/1 EV+ ✗
36%
3.86
X/2
4%
16.25
X/X
8%
7.8
2/1
7%
20.05
2/2
5%
13.1
2/X
6%
21.8
Value flag · X/1 at 3.86 — our 36% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
71%
-1.9pp
19%
Draw
18%
+1.4pp
12%
Away Win
12%
+0.6pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.0pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 15%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +19%
2.49/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/2.13
+16% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +0%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
434 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
35.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
25.2 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galatasaray
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Alanyaspor
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
2.08 xG 1.01
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
458 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.09.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-1 HT 0-1 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
09.03.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
06.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
15.04.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.04.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galatasaray
3-1
AWAY Alanyaspor
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 0
507 Passes 330
90% Pass Accuracy 87%
POST-MATCH Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray beat Alanyaspor 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Galatasaray had 60% of the ball to Alanyaspor's 40%, shots finished 14-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Galatasaray and 0.33 for Alanyaspor.

What was the final score of Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor?

Galatasaray 3-1 Alanyaspor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galatasaray vs Alanyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Galatasaray 69%, draw 19%, Alanyaspor 12%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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