Kasımpaşa 0-3 Çaykur Rizespor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
34%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
10%
13.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.14
1/2
7%
26.5
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
16%
6.07
X/2
9%
5.34
X/X
10%
4.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
29.5
2/2
18%
3.39
2/X
9%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
39%
-4.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.6pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 43%
+4% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -3%
1.53/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.25
+19% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.4 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.52 xG 1.28
46% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
282 Passes 350
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2025 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 1-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
09.02.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-2 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
31.08.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-1 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
18.05.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 0-0 HT 0-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
25.12.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-2 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
12.03.2022 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-3
AWAY Çaykur Rizespor
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
329 Passes 300
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor ran out comfortable winners over Kasımpaşa 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Çaykur Rizespor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 52% of the ball to Çaykur Rizespor's 48%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.00 for Çaykur Rizespor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Kasımpaşa 0-3 Çaykur Rizespor in the Turkey - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Çaykur Rizespor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 40%, draw 26%, Çaykur Rizespor 34%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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