Kocaelispor 0-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
49%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
5.28
1/2
11%
27.0
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
6%
6.76
X/2
18%
4.62
X/X
14%
4.29
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.94
2/X
5%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-2.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
49%
Away Win
44%
+4.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 48%
-27% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.22/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.13
-47% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -4%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
274 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
22.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
24.2 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Beşiktaş
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.83
0.27 xG 2.39
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
403 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.02.2026 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-1 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TÜK
29.09.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
21.07.2019 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 7-1 HT 2-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor HAZ
10.04.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.11.2008 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 5-2 HT 2-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
03.08.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-4 HT 0-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
338 Passes 334
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Beşiktaş squeezed past Kocaelispor 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Beşiktaş as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 50% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 50%, shots finished 10-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kocaelispor and 3.83 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş?

Kocaelispor 0-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Super League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 26%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Beşiktaş), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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