Kocaelispor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Feb 2026

Kocaelispor
1-1 HT 1-0
Beşiktaş
📅05/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.42
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
4.26
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
13%
6.26
X/2
14%
5.38
X/X
11%
4.87
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.37
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.7pp
43%
Away Win
40%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kocaelispor v Beşiktaş — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Beşiktaş EU Bookmakers 43%
+48% / +48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.42
+97% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +150%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
239 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
– Crosses 15.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1

Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Beşiktaş
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
0.27 xG 2.39
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
403 Passes 263
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 28
21 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
29.09.2025 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 3-1 HT 2-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
21.07.2019 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 7-1 HT 2-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor HAZ
10.04.2009 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 1-3 HT 1-0 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL
07.11.2008 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş 5-2 HT 2-2 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TSL
03.08.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-4 HT 0-3 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş HAZ
08.02.2003 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-5 HT 0-1 Beşiktaş Beşiktaş TSL

Kocaelispor 1-1 Beşiktaş — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
1-1
AWAY Beşiktaş
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor and Beşiktaş couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Beşiktaş at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 36% of the ball to Beşiktaş's 64%, shots finished 7-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Beşiktaş led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kocaelispor and 4.50 for Beşiktaş.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş?

Kocaelispor 1-1 Beşiktaş in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Beşiktaş?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beşiktaş win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 32%, draw 25%, Beşiktaş 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beşiktaş) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beşiktaş) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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