Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Fenerbahçe v Erzurumspor FK — Team-Based Signals
Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
3-1
HT 3-0
Erzurumspor FK
TSL
0-3
HT 0-1
Fenerbahçe
TSL
0-1
HT 0-0
Fenerbahçe
TSL
2-2
HT 2-0
Erzurumspor FK
TSL
Fenerbahçe saw off Erzurumspor FK 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 80%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.60 for Erzurumspor FK.
What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK?
Fenerbahçe 3-1 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK?
Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 80%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 80%, draw 12%, Erzurumspor FK 8%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.