Fenerbahçe 5-0 Erzurumspor FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.16
Draw
18%
7.13
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.22
2-3 Goals
43%
2.13
4-5 Goals
29%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
5.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1.25
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
31.0
X/1
15%
3.75
X/2
5%
33.0
X/X
7%
11.3
2/1
9%
23.85
2/2
7%
29.5
2/X
5%
34.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
82%
-16.3pp
18%
Draw
11%
+6.7pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.7pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.9pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.6pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fenerbahçe EU Bookmakers 87%
Head to Head
AWAY Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 9%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
3.10/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/3.66
+21% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -31%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
437 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fenerbahçe
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
2.87 xG 0.71
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
444 Passes 306
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
26 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2021 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 3-1 HT 3-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
11.01.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
20.05.2019 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe TSL
17.12.2018 Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe 2-2 HT 2-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fenerbahçe
5-0
AWAY Erzurumspor FK
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 3
8 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fenerbahçe cruised past Erzurumspor FK 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fenerbahçe as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fenerbahçe had 61% of the ball to Erzurumspor FK's 39%, shots finished 17-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fenerbahçe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Fenerbahçe and 0.75 for Erzurumspor FK.

What was the final score of Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK?

Fenerbahçe 5-0 Erzurumspor FK in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fenerbahçe win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Fenerbahçe 66%, draw 18%, Erzurumspor FK 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fenerbahçe), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fenerbahçe) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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