İskenderunspor 2-2 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

İskenderunspor
2-2 HT 1-0
Trabzonspor
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2025/2026

İskenderunspor vs Trabzonspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
7.18
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
50%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
5.54
2-3 Goals
46%
2.05
4-5 Goals
22%
2.68
6+ Goals
9%
6.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.54 — our 23% vs market 13.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
14.7
1/2
4%
20.05
1/X
5%
23.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.15
X/2
16%
3.88
X/X
11%
8.43
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
30%
1.49
2/X
4%
20.15
Value flag · X/1 at 18.15 — our 14% vs market 2.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
11%
+18.2pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
50%
Away Win
71%
-20.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İskenderunspor v Trabzonspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İskenderunspor EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 75%
+76% / +76% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.94
+11% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -7%
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
271 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 84%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
4.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

İskenderunspor 2-2 Trabzonspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İskenderunspor
2-2
AWAY Trabzonspor
33% Ball Possession 67%
8 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH İskenderunspor vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İskenderunspor and Trabzonspor shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Trabzonspor at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, İskenderunspor had 33% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 67%, shots finished 8-20.

What was the final score of İskenderunspor vs Trabzonspor?

İskenderunspor 2-2 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İskenderunspor vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split İskenderunspor 30%, draw 20%, Trabzonspor 50%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Trabzonspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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