Bodrum FK 3-1 Antalyaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

Bodrum FK
3-1 HT 2-0
Antalyaspor
📅05/02/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2024/2025

Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.26
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
9%
14.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 28% vs market 25.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.64
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
19%
4.48
X/2
10%
7.43
X/X
13%
4.86
2/1
6%
24.3
2/2
11%
5.71
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.9pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodrum FK v Antalyaspor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Antalyaspor EU Bookmakers 29%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.32
+14% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 0.5

Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Antalyaspor
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.35 xG 2.38
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
258 Passes 412
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
13 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2024 Antalyaspor Antalyaspor 3-2 HT 3-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK TSL

Bodrum FK 3-1 Antalyaspor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
3-1
AWAY Antalyaspor
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK saw off Antalyaspor 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 55% of the ball to Antalyaspor's 45%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor?

Bodrum FK 3-1 Antalyaspor in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 44%, draw 28%, Antalyaspor 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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