Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 5 Feb 2025

📅05/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.3
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ Over 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
73%
-12.9pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.9pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+9.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-9.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.5pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çaykur Rizespor EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 14%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
3.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.38
+34% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -59% / +75%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
1W-3D-2L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.92 xG 1.08
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
370 Passes 278
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 2-2 HT 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
16.01.2024 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 3-1 HT 0-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TÜK
11.12.2023 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-0 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
22.02.2021 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-1 HT 1-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
17.10.2020 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor 5-3 HT 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü TSL
13.03.2020 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-1 HT 2-1 Çaykur Rizespor Çaykur Rizespor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çaykur Rizespor
2-1
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çaykur Rizespor nicked a narrow win over MKE Ankaragücü 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Çaykur Rizespor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Çaykur Rizespor had 56% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 44%, shots finished 16-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Çaykur Rizespor and 2.00 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Çaykur Rizespor 2-1 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - Cup on 05/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çaykur Rizespor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çaykur Rizespor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Çaykur Rizespor 60%, draw 22%, MKE Ankaragücü 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çaykur Rizespor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
TÜK More Turkey - Cup
5 Feb 2025
13:00 İskenderunspor vs Trabzonspor Analysis →
15:30 Bodrum FK vs Antalyaspor Analysis →
20:30 Fenerbahçe vs Erzurumspor FK Analysis →