Alanyaspor 0-1 Galatasaray — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 26 Sep 2025

Alanyaspor
0-1 HT 0-1
Galatasaray
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2025/2026

Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
5.34
Draw
18%
4.19
Away
65%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.33
Over 2.5
55%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.67
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
15%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
9.89
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
19.95
1/X
7%
17.85
X/1
4%
12.8
X/2
18%
4.1
X/X
8%
6.77
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
38%
1.77
2/X
4%
15.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 19.95 — our 8% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
16%
+1.4pp
18%
Draw
20%
-2.1pp
65%
Away Win
64%
+0.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
39%
+5.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
61%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alanyaspor v Galatasaray — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alanyaspor EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Galatasaray EU Bookmakers 69%
-9% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
1.00/1.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.12
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
260 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 84%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.6
17.3 Crosses 20.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.1

Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alanyaspor
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Galatasaray
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
0.68 xG 2.18
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 9
6 Corners 6
289 Passes 451
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 36
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.03.2025 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 1-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
06.10.2024 Galatasaray Galatasaray 1-0 HT 1-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
15.04.2024 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 0-4 HT 0-0 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
25.11.2023 Galatasaray Galatasaray 4-0 HT 2-0 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor TSL
18.04.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-4 HT 1-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TSL
17.01.2023 Alanyaspor Alanyaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Galatasaray Galatasaray TÜK

Alanyaspor 0-1 Galatasaray — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alanyaspor
0-1
AWAY Galatasaray
2.66 xG 1.61
46% Ball Possession 54%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 0
375 Passes 490
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
35 Box Touches 10
24 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galatasaray squeezed past Alanyaspor 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Galatasaray as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alanyaspor had 46% of the ball to Galatasaray's 54%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.66 to 1.61 — on chances, Alanyaspor could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Galatasaray led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Alanyaspor and 2.83 for Galatasaray.

What was the final score of Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Alanyaspor 0-1 Galatasaray in the Turkey - Super League on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alanyaspor vs Galatasaray?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galatasaray win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Alanyaspor 17%, draw 18%, Galatasaray 65%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galatasaray) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galatasaray) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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