Başakşehir FK 2-4 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 3 Mar 2026

📅03/03/2026 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
32%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.43
No
39%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
32%
2.53
6+ Goals
9%
5.99
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
47%
-0.6pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+4.1pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
66%
-4.5pp
39%
BTTS No
34%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
0.95/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/2.37
-48% / +132% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -32%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
35.0 Crosses 20.0
3.3 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.63
46% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
290 Passes 350
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-4 HT 2-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
15.03.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
19.10.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.05.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
2-4
AWAY Trabzonspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
19 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor got the better of Başakşehir FK 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 50% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 50%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Başakşehir FK 2-4 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Cup on 03/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 46%, draw 21%, Trabzonspor 32%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Başakşehir FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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