Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.28
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.6
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.6 — our 32% vs market 22.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.8
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
12.4
X/1
10%
4.78
X/2
14%
7.3
X/X
18%
4.64
2/1
6%
24.85
2/2
12%
5.12
2/X
6%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-9.1pp
32%
Draw
27%
+4.5pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.53/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.38
+16% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +26%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
341 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 81%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
18.0 Crosses 14.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.15 xG 1.12
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
326 Passes 381
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
24 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
18.05.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.06.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
22.05.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 3-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
1.32 xG 0.42
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
392 Passes 266
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
31 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Başakşehir FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 32% / 32% — and on the day Trabzonspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 59% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 41%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 36%, draw 32%, Başakşehir FK 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Under 2.5
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