Kayserispor 2-2 Gaziantep FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.0
Over 2.5
55%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.63
No
44%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
27%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.35
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 27% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.16
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.7
X/1
18%
5.12
X/2
13%
6.32
X/X
12%
4.85
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
16%
4.24
2/X
8%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
57%
-1.3pp
44%
BTTS No
43%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.55/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.42
-7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
23.2 Crosses 15.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kayserispor
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.08 xG 1.08
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
381 Passes 353
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.09.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
06.05.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.12.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
08.05.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kayserispor
2-2
AWAY Gaziantep FK
1.83 xG 1.53
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 0
406 Passes 243
85% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 14
46 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kayserispor vs Gaziantep FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kayserispor and Gaziantep FK couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kayserispor had 61% of the ball to Gaziantep FK's 39%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.83 to 1.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kayserispor and 0.50 for Gaziantep FK.

What was the final score of Kayserispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Kayserispor 2-2 Gaziantep FK in the Turkey - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kayserispor vs Gaziantep FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kayserispor win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kayserispor 37%, draw 27%, Gaziantep FK 36%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kayserispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kayserispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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