Eyüpspor 1-0 Göztepe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.63
6+ Goals
10%
14.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.63 — our 24% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.78
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
20%
4.47
X/2
9%
7.03
X/X
13%
4.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
5.23
2/X
5%
14.05
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
46%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+4.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eyüpspor EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Göztepe EU Bookmakers 31%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.28/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.66
+150% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
13.0 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eyüpspor
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Göztepe
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.01 xG 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 4
371 Passes 244
80% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 18
24 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 0-3 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
20.12.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 5-1 HT 2-1 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
16.04.2023 Göztepe Göztepe 1-0 HT 1-0 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor T1L
20.11.2022 Eyüpspor Eyüpspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eyüpspor
1-0
AWAY Göztepe
1.23 xG 1.14
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
290 Passes 268
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Eyüpspor vs Göztepe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eyüpspor edged past Göztepe 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Eyüpspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eyüpspor had 53% of the ball to Göztepe's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.23 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Göztepe led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Eyüpspor and 2.25 for Göztepe.

What was the final score of Eyüpspor vs Göztepe?

Eyüpspor 1-0 Göztepe in the Turkey - Super League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eyüpspor vs Göztepe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eyüpspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Eyüpspor 50%, draw 24%, Göztepe 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Eyüpspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Eyüpspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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