Başakşehir FK 0-3 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.41
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.2
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
5%
12.25
X/1
17%
5.27
X/2
10%
6.61
X/X
11%
4.49
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.57
2/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.65
Value flag · 2/X at 12.65 — our 12% vs market 5.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -26%
1.54/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.64
+23% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.3
18.0 Crosses 18.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.88 xG 0.95
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
370 Passes 312
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.05.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.06.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
0-3
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.37 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
373 Passes 316
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor cruised past Başakşehir FK 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Başakşehir FK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 54% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 46%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.37 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.00 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Başakşehir FK 0-3 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Başakşehir FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 44%, draw 29%, Trabzonspor 28%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Başakşehir FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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