Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kayserispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 15 Mar 2025

Gaziantep FK
1-0 HT 0-0
Kayserispor
📅15/03/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - Super League – 2024/2025

Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
3.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 25% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.25
1/2
5%
29.0
1/X
7%
12.0
X/1 EV+ ✓
21%
5.48
X/2
11%
6.53
X/X
10%
4.75
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
14%
4.29
2/X
9%
12.3
Value flag · X/1 at 5.48 — our 21% vs market 14.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.6pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.2pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.0pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Gaziantep FK v Kayserispor — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gaziantep FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Kayserispor EU Bookmakers 36%
+13% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +0%
1.42/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.61
+18% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
339 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
18.2 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gaziantep FK
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Kayserispor
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
341 Passes 382
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.10.2024 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-2 HT 1-2 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
03.02.2024 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
16.09.2023 Kayserispor Kayserispor 2-0 HT 1-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL
06.11.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-2 HT 0-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
06.05.2022 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Kayserispor Kayserispor TSL
19.12.2021 Kayserispor Kayserispor 0-0 HT 0-0 Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK TSL

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kayserispor — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gaziantep FK
1-0
AWAY Kayserispor
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
214 Passes 305
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
POST-MATCH Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gaziantep FK squeezed past Kayserispor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gaziantep FK as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gaziantep FK had 42% of the ball to Kayserispor's 58%, shots finished 14-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kayserispor led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gaziantep FK and 1.33 for Kayserispor.

What was the final score of Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor?

Gaziantep FK 1-0 Kayserispor in the Turkey - Super League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gaziantep FK vs Kayserispor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gaziantep FK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Gaziantep FK 44%, draw 26%, Kayserispor 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gaziantep FK) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gaziantep FK) ✗ BTTS Yes
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