Başakşehir FK 3-4 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 24 Nov 2025

📅24/11/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.66
No
42%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.46
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
17%
5.5
X/2
11%
6.17
X/X
11%
4.82
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
26.5
2/2
21%
4.14
2/X
7%
13.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 8% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-3.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
38%
Away Win
34%
+4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
58%
BTTS Yes
56%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS No
44%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.49/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.48
+11% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
345 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 81%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
18.4 Crosses 16.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Başakşehir FK
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.93 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
351 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
15.03.2025 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-3 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
19.10.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
18.05.2024 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
28.02.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TÜK
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.06.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Başakşehir FK
3-4
AWAY Trabzonspor
2.45 xG 3.62
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 10
175 Passes 382
72% Pass Accuracy 88%
13 Box Touches 35
12 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor squeezed past Başakşehir FK 4-3 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Trabzonspor made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Başakşehir FK had 36% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 64%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 2.45 to 3.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trabzonspor led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Başakşehir FK and 1.33 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Başakşehir FK 3-4 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 24/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Başakşehir FK vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Başakşehir FK 37%, draw 26%, Trabzonspor 38%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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