Cesar Vallejo vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesar Vallejo v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals
Cesar Vallejo 0-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics
Defensa y Justicia nicked a narrow win over Cesar Vallejo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Defensa y Justicia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Cesar Vallejo had 50% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 50%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 1.07 to 2.10.
What was the final score of Cesar Vallejo vs Defensa y Justicia?
Cesar Vallejo 0-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Copa Sudamericana on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesar Vallejo vs Defensa y Justicia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Defensa y Justicia win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cesar Vallejo 34%, draw 29%, Defensa y Justicia 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensa y Justicia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.