Sportivo Ameliano vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sportivo Ameliano v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals
Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics
Atletico Paranaense ran out comfortable winners over Sportivo Ameliano 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Atletico Paranaense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Sportivo Ameliano had 40% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 60%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.84 to 2.46.
What was the final score of Sportivo Ameliano vs Atletico Paranaense?
Sportivo Ameliano 1-4 Atletico Paranaense in the Copa Sudamericana on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sportivo Ameliano vs Atletico Paranaense?
Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sportivo Ameliano 33%, draw 27%, Atletico Paranaense 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.