Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Corinthians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Sudamericana, 3 Apr 2024

📅03/04/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.5
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
37%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
64%
1.62
Over
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.61
2-3
42%
1.77
4-5
19%
4.51
6+
7%
24.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
6.15
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.9
X/1
6%
7.49
X/2
19%
4.18
X/X
14%
4.09
2/1
10%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.72
2/X
8%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
25%
+8.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
37%
Away Win
47%
-9.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.1pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.1pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Corinthians EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
263 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
Crosses 14.7
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Corinthians
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
15.04.2010 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-1 Corinthians Corinthians LKU
25.02.2010 Corinthians Corinthians 2-1 HT 1-1 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo LKU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-1
AWAY Corinthians
0.78 xG 0.70
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
215 Passes 401
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
14 Box Touches 10
18 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs Corinthians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club Montevideo and Corinthians shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (64%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 38% of the ball to Corinthians's 62%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.78 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Corinthians led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.00 for Corinthians.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs Corinthians?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-1 Corinthians in the Copa Sudamericana on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs Corinthians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Corinthians win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 34%, draw 29%, Corinthians 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Corinthians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Corinthians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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