Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 3 Apr 2025

Chelsea
1-0 HT 0-0
Tottenham
📅03/04/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Premier League – 2024/2025

Chelsea vs Tottenham Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.51
Over 2.5
59%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.43
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.6
6+ Goals
15%
6.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.11
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
20%
4.6
X/2
15%
9.86
X/X
10%
6.68
2/1
8%
19.25
2/2
9%
6.75
2/X
6%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-8.2pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+7.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.8pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea v Tottenham — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
2.11/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.67
+4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 80%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
18.3 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.6

Chelsea vs Tottenham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelsea
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Tottenham
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.05 xG 1.29
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
454 Passes 314
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
33 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
08.12.2024 Tottenham Tottenham 3-4 HT 2-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
02.05.2024 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
06.11.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 1-4 HT 1-1 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
26.02.2023 Tottenham Tottenham 2-0 HT 0-0 Chelsea Chelsea İNP
14.08.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-2 HT 1-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP
23.01.2022 Chelsea Chelsea 2-0 HT 0-0 Tottenham Tottenham İNP

Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea
1-0
AWAY Tottenham
1.05 xG 0.87
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
374 Passes 386
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
37 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 19
5 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chelsea vs Tottenham
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea edged past Tottenham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chelsea as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chelsea had 50% of the ball to Tottenham's 50%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 1.05 to 0.87.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chelsea had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Chelsea and 1.33 for Tottenham.

What was the final score of Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Chelsea 1-0 Tottenham in the England - Premier League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea vs Tottenham?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chelsea 48%, draw 23%, Tottenham 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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