Welayta Dicha 1-0 Mekelle Kenema — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
30%
2.83
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
64%
1.62
Over 2.5
36%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.33
No
62%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.0pp
30%
Draw
32%
-1.8pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
64%
Under 2.5
58%
+6.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
42%
-6.6pp
38%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.0pp
62%
BTTS No
61%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welayta Dicha EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Mekelle Kenema EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.38/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/0.55
+35% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +96%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welayta Dicha
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 1
1 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2025 Mekelle Kenema Mekelle Kenema 0-1 Welayta Dicha Welayta Dicha ETH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welayta Dicha
1-0
AWAY Mekelle Kenema
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Welayta Dicha vs Mekelle Kenema
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Welayta Dicha squeezed past Mekelle Kenema 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Welayta Dicha as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) came in.

On the day, Welayta Dicha had 50% of the ball to Mekelle Kenema's 50%, shots finished 11-10.

What was the final score of Welayta Dicha vs Mekelle Kenema?

Welayta Dicha 1-0 Mekelle Kenema in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welayta Dicha vs Mekelle Kenema?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welayta Dicha win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Welayta Dicha 41%, draw 30%, Mekelle Kenema 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Welayta Dicha), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Welayta Dicha) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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