Petrocub 2-1 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - Cup, 3 Apr 2025

📅03/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.64
Over 2.5
42%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Petrocub EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Petrocub
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Milsami
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Milsami Milsami 5-1 HT 2-0 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
30.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
28.09.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
06.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
28.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
19.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 2-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Petrocub
2-1
AWAY Milsami
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Petrocub vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Petrocub squeezed past Milsami 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Petrocub as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Petrocub had 48% of the ball to Milsami's 52%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Petrocub and 1.17 for Milsami.

What was the final score of Petrocub vs Milsami?

Petrocub 2-1 Milsami in the Moldova - Cup on 03/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Petrocub vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Petrocub 48%, draw 27%, Milsami 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Petrocub) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Petrocub) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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