Milsami 5-1 Petrocub — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+1.1pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.3pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.9pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milsami EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Petrocub EU Bookmakers 48%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +27% / +27%
0.65/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.46/0.44
-40% / +91% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +68%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
237 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 439 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milsami
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Petrocub
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.10.2024 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
28.09.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 2-1 HT 0-1 Milsami Milsami MOLD
06.04.2024 Petrocub Petrocub 3-0 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
28.10.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 1-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
19.08.2023 Petrocub Petrocub 2-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
22.04.2023 Milsami Milsami 0-2 HT 0-1 Petrocub Petrocub MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milsami
5-1
AWAY Petrocub
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Milsami vs Petrocub
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milsami ran out comfortable winners over Petrocub 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 33% / 37% — and on the day Milsami made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milsami had 44% of the ball to Petrocub's 56%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Petrocub led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Milsami and 2.00 for Petrocub.

What was the final score of Milsami vs Petrocub?

Milsami 5-1 Petrocub in the Moldova - National League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milsami vs Petrocub?

Before kick-off our model rated an Petrocub win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Milsami 30%, draw 33%, Petrocub 37%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Petrocub) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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