Sparta Selemet 2-3 CSF Balti — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.17
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.71
Over 2.5
40%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
28%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.2pp
39%
Away Win
45%
-6.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.0pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Selemet EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 49%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.00/2.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.05
+0% / -54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -43%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
258 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Selemet
0W-2D-1L
AWAY CSF Balti
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
26.10.2024 Sparta Selemet 1-1 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
11.11.2023 Sparta Selemet 1-5 HT 0-1 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
17.09.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Sparta Selemet MOLD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Selemet
2-3
AWAY CSF Balti
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti edged past Sparta Selemet 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; CSF Balti found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sparta Selemet had 50% of the ball to CSF Balti's 50%, shots finished 10-17.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, CSF Balti led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sparta Selemet and 2.33 for CSF Balti.

What was the final score of Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Sparta Selemet 2-3 CSF Balti in the Moldova - National League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Selemet vs CSF Balti?

Before kick-off our model rated an CSF Balti win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sparta Selemet 34%, draw 27%, CSF Balti 39%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CSF Balti) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CSF Balti) ✗ Under 2.5
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