Livorno 3-0 Gubbio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Apr 2026

Livorno
3-0 HT 2-0
Gubbio
📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Livorno vs Gubbio Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
42%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
4.61
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.9pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livorno v Gubbio — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livorno EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Gubbio EU Bookmakers 32%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
1.50/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.05
+21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7

Livorno vs Gubbio Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livorno
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Gubbio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
29.11.2025 Gubbio Gubbio 0-0 HT 0-0 Livorno Livorno İTC
28.07.2019 Gubbio Gubbio 1-1 HT 1-0 Livorno Livorno HAZ
31.03.2012 Gubbio Gubbio 1-2 HT 0-1 Livorno Livorno İTB
29.10.2011 Livorno Livorno 1-1 HT 1-0 Gubbio Gubbio İTB

Livorno 3-0 Gubbio — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Livorno
3-0
AWAY Gubbio
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 4
0 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Livorno vs Gubbio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livorno ran out comfortable winners over Gubbio 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 35%) promised a tight game; Livorno found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Livorno had 42% of the ball to Gubbio's 58%, shots finished 12-4.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Livorno had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Livorno and 0.75 for Gubbio.

What was the final score of Livorno vs Gubbio?

Livorno 3-0 Gubbio in the Italy - Serie C on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livorno vs Gubbio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Livorno win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Livorno 37%, draw 28%, Gubbio 35%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Livorno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Livorno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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