Novara 1-3 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 3 Apr 2026

📅03/04/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.71
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
54%
+3.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.9pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +3%
1.42/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
-10% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +19%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
358 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 217 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.11.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-1 Novara Novara İTC
11.04.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 0-2 Novara Novara İTC
01.12.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.03.2024 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
26.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
1-3
AWAY Lumezzane
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Novara vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane got the better of Novara 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Novara carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Novara had 58% of the ball to Lumezzane's 42%, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Novara had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novara and 0.83 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Novara vs Lumezzane?

Novara 1-3 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 03/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Novara 57%, draw 23%, Lumezzane 20%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
3 Apr 2026
21:30 Union Brescia vs Cittadella Analysis →
21:30 Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate Analysis →
21:30 Lecco vs Vicenza Analysis →
21:30 Livorno vs Gubbio Analysis →
21:30 Athletic Carpi vs Pontedera Analysis →