Lumezzane 2-2 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
34%
2.83
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.52
Over 2.5
37%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.24
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.97
6+ Goals
8%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.7pp
34%
Draw
32%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
62%
+0.8pp
37%
Over 2.5
38%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.6pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +5%
1.39/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.21
+22% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
227 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.03.2024 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
26.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
06.01.2015 Novara Novara 1-3 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
2-2
AWAY Novara
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Novara couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 34% / 31% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lumezzane had 51% of the ball to Novara's 49%, shots finished 13-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lumezzane and 0.80 for Novara.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Novara?

Lumezzane 2-2 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 35%, draw 34%, Novara 31%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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