Novara 0-0 Lumezzane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.29
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.2pp
32%
Away Win
24%
+8.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-3.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+3.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Novara EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.40/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.03
-2% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Novara
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Lumezzane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
26.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
06.01.2015 Novara Novara 1-3 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Novara
0-0
AWAY Lumezzane
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Novara vs Lumezzane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Novara and Lumezzane played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Novara at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Novara had 45% of the ball to Lumezzane's 55%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Novara and 1.25 for Lumezzane.

What was the final score of Novara vs Lumezzane?

Novara 0-0 Lumezzane in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Novara vs Lumezzane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Novara 43%, draw 25%, Lumezzane 32%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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