Sestri Levante vs Perugia Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sestri Levante v Perugia — Team-Based Signals
Sestri Levante vs Perugia Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Sestri Levante
İTC
Sestri Levante 2-2 Perugia — Actual Match Statistics
Sestri Levante and Perugia couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Perugia at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Sestri Levante had 60% of the ball to Perugia's 40%, shots finished 12-12.
For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestri Levante and 0.50 for Perugia.
What was the final score of Sestri Levante vs Perugia?
Sestri Levante 2-2 Perugia in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sestri Levante vs Perugia?
Before kick-off our model rated an Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sestri Levante 32%, draw 23%, Perugia 44%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.