Padova Calcio 1-1 Triestina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
24%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.85
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
3.91
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 29% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
65%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
24%
Away Win
13%
+11.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.0pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Triestina EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.65/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.37/1.65
-5% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -52% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Triestina
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
22.12.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
18.02.2023 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
19.10.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
23.01.2022 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
19.09.2021 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 2-0 HT 1-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
03.04.2021 Triestina Triestina 1-0 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
1-1
AWAY Triestina
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Triestina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Padova Calcio and Triestina shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Padova Calcio at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 51% of the ball to Triestina's 49%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.33 for Triestina.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Triestina?

Padova Calcio 1-1 Triestina in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Triestina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 49%, draw 26%, Triestina 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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