Ternana 3-0 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 1 Dec 2024

📅01/12/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
18%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.11
2-3 Goals
34%
1.76
4-5 Goals
22%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.11 — our 35% vs market 26.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
66%
-6.8pp
23%
Draw
21%
+2.0pp
18%
Away Win
13%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ternana EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
2.97/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.37
+73% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ternana
3-0
AWAY Milan II
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ternana vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ternana cruised past Milan II 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ternana as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Ternana had 48% of the ball to Milan II's 52%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Ternana vs Milan II?

Ternana 3-0 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 01/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ternana vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ternana win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Ternana 60%, draw 23%, Milan II 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ternana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ternana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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