Alcione 0-3 FeralpiSalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.31
2-3 Goals
45%
1.75
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
41%
Away Win
45%
-4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.6pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcione EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FeralpiSalo EU Bookmakers 49%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -1%
0.67/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.90
-37% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcione
0W-1D-0L
AWAY FeralpiSalo
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
29.11.2024 FeralpiSalo FeralpiSalo 1-1 HT 0-1 Alcione İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcione
0-3
AWAY FeralpiSalo
53% Ball Possession 47%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Alcione vs FeralpiSalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FeralpiSalo ran out comfortable winners over Alcione 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FeralpiSalo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Alcione had 53% of the ball to FeralpiSalo's 47%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Alcione vs FeralpiSalo?

Alcione 0-3 FeralpiSalo in the Italy - Serie C on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcione vs FeralpiSalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an FeralpiSalo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alcione 30%, draw 29%, FeralpiSalo 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FeralpiSalo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FeralpiSalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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