Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Caldiero Terme — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 11 Apr 2025

📅11/04/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
24%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
8%
19.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 30.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+2.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-3.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Caldiero Terme EU Bookmakers 31%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.04/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/2.36
-21% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
266 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Caldiero Terme
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
01.12.2024 Caldiero Terme 1-2 HT 0-1 Arzignano Valchiampo Arzignano Valchiampo İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arzignano Valchiampo
2-1
AWAY Caldiero Terme
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arzignano Valchiampo vs Caldiero Terme
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arzignano Valchiampo nicked a narrow win over Caldiero Terme 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Arzignano Valchiampo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Arzignano Valchiampo had 51% of the ball to Caldiero Terme's 49%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Arzignano Valchiampo vs Caldiero Terme?

Arzignano Valchiampo 2-1 Caldiero Terme in the Italy - Serie C on 11/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arzignano Valchiampo vs Caldiero Terme?

Before kick-off our model rated a Arzignano Valchiampo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Arzignano Valchiampo 47%, draw 29%, Caldiero Terme 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Arzignano Valchiampo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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