Lumezzane 1-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.88
No
48%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.5
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
1.43/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.24
+23% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
298 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.04.2025 Lumezzane Lumezzane 2-2 HT 0-2 Novara Novara İTC
01.12.2024 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
30.03.2024 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
26.11.2023 Lumezzane Lumezzane 1-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
10.05.2015 Lumezzane Lumezzane 0-1 HT 0-0 Novara Novara İTC
06.01.2015 Novara Novara 1-3 HT 0-2 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
1-1
AWAY Novara
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lumezzane and Novara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Lumezzane had 60% of the ball to Novara's 40%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lumezzane and 1.00 for Novara.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Novara?

Lumezzane 1-1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Novara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 31%, draw 30%, Novara 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Novara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Novara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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