Casertana 3-1 Cavese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.06
No
48%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.31
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
18%
4.81
6+ Goals
10%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-4.5pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+7.5pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Casertana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Cavese EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.53/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.65
+7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Casertana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cavese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2025 Cavese Cavese 1-0 HT 1-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
21.10.2024 Casertana Casertana 1-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
21.03.2021 Casertana Casertana 2-1 HT 0-1 Cavese Cavese İTC
29.11.2020 Cavese Cavese 0-1 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
29.02.2020 Casertana Casertana 2-0 HT 0-0 Cavese Cavese İTC
20.10.2019 Cavese Cavese 0-0 HT 0-0 Casertana Casertana İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Casertana
3-1
AWAY Cavese
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Casertana vs Cavese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Casertana beat Cavese 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Casertana as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Casertana had 59% of the ball to Cavese's 41%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Casertana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Casertana and 0.33 for Cavese.

What was the final score of Casertana vs Cavese?

Casertana 3-1 Cavese in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Casertana vs Cavese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Casertana win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Casertana 44%, draw 28%, Cavese 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Casertana), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Casertana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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