Picerno 0-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 29 Nov 2025

📅29/11/2025 · 🕒16:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
50%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.64
Over 2.5
44%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.16
No
54%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.31
6+ Goals
8%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
17%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.5pp
50%
Away Win
58%
-7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 62%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.15/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.68
+34% / +73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +12%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
243 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 386 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Catania
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2025 Picerno Picerno 1-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
14.09.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 2-0 Picerno Picerno İTCK
17.09.2023 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
12.02.2022 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
0-1
AWAY Catania
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Catania nicked a narrow win over Picerno 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Catania as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Picerno had 47% of the ball to Catania's 53%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Catania?

Picerno 0-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 29/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated an Catania win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Picerno 23%, draw 27%, Catania 50%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Catania), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Catania) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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