Picerno 1-1 Catania — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.21
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.91
6+ Goals
10%
30.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.9pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.5pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Picerno EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Catania EU Bookmakers 38%
+7% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -18%
1.34/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.34
+16% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Picerno
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Catania
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Catania Catania 0-0 HT 0-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
06.02.2024 Picerno Picerno 1-0 HT 1-0 Catania Catania İTC
08.11.2023 Catania Catania 3-2 HT 2-0 Picerno Picerno İTCK
17.09.2023 Catania Catania 2-0 HT 1-0 Picerno Picerno İTC
12.02.2022 Catania Catania 0-1 HT 0-1 Picerno Picerno İTC
04.10.2021 Picerno Picerno 0-1 HT 0-0 Catania Catania İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Picerno
1-1
AWAY Catania
63% Ball Possession 37%
15 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Picerno vs Catania
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Picerno and Catania couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Picerno had 63% of the ball to Catania's 37%, shots finished 15-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Catania led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Picerno and 1.00 for Catania.

What was the final score of Picerno vs Catania?

Picerno 1-1 Catania in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Picerno vs Catania?

Before kick-off our model rated a Picerno win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Picerno 40%, draw 27%, Catania 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Picerno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Picerno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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