Ascoli 2-2 Milan II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 19 Jan 2025

📅19/01/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.43
2-3 Goals
43%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.35
6+ Goals
10%
23.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
15%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
55%
-9.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ascoli EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Milan II EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.36/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/0.61
-14% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +119%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ascoli
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Milan II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Milan II Milan II 0-2 HT 0-2 Ascoli Ascoli İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ascoli
2-2
AWAY Milan II
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ascoli vs Milan II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli and Milan II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ascoli at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ascoli had 59% of the ball to Milan II's 41%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Ascoli vs Milan II?

Ascoli 2-2 Milan II in the Italy - Serie C on 19/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ascoli vs Milan II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ascoli 45%, draw 28%, Milan II 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ascoli) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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