Milan II 0-2 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
40%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.76
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.23
6+ Goals
8%
20.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 34% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
27%
+7.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan II EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -42%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 377 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan II
0-2
AWAY Ascoli
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Milan II vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli got the better of Milan II 2-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 26% / 40% — and on the day Ascoli made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Milan II had 54% of the ball to Ascoli's 46%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Milan II vs Ascoli?

Milan II 0-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan II vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ascoli win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Milan II 34%, draw 26%, Ascoli 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ascoli), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ascoli) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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