Vis Pesaro 2-0 Pontedera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.11
6+ Goals
12%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vis Pesaro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Pontedera EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +22%
0.86/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.21
-26% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vis Pesaro
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Pontedera
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 0-1 HT 0-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
26.10.2023 Pontedera Pontedera 0-0 HT 0-0 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
15.02.2023 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 1-1 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
18.09.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
02.02.2022 Pontedera Pontedera 1-1 HT 0-1 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro İTC
05.09.2021 Vis Pesaro Vis Pesaro 2-2 HT 2-0 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vis Pesaro
2-0
AWAY Pontedera
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vis Pesaro got the better of Pontedera 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Vis Pesaro found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vis Pesaro had 56% of the ball to Pontedera's 44%, shots finished 14-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pontedera led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vis Pesaro and 1.00 for Pontedera.

What was the final score of Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera?

Vis Pesaro 2-0 Pontedera in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vis Pesaro vs Pontedera?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vis Pesaro win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Vis Pesaro 37%, draw 26%, Pontedera 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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