Crotone 2-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 20%
-12% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +4%
1.48/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.52/1.54
-15% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
4W-1D-1L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.08.2024 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTCK
06.03.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
29.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 3-3 HT 2-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
23.12.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
04.09.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-4 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
06.01.2002 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-0 HT 2-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
2-0
AWAY ACR Messina
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Crotone vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone saw off ACR Messina 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Crotone had 55% of the ball to ACR Messina's 45%, shots finished 11-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Crotone and 1.50 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Crotone vs ACR Messina?

Crotone 2-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Serie C on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crotone 54%, draw 22%, ACR Messina 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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