Crotone 1-0 ACR Messina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.32
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
23%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
71%
-17.3pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.0pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+12.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.7pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Crotone EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY ACR Messina EU Bookmakers 14%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/2.00
-53% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
5.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Crotone
3W-1D-1L
AWAY ACR Messina
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 ACR Messina ACR Messina 0-1 HT 0-0 Crotone Crotone İTC
29.10.2023 Crotone Crotone 3-3 HT 2-1 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
23.12.2022 Crotone Crotone 1-0 HT 0-0 ACR Messina ACR Messina İTC
04.09.2022 ACR Messina ACR Messina 2-4 HT 1-2 Crotone Crotone İTC
06.01.2002 ACR Messina ACR Messina 4-0 HT 2-0 Crotone Crotone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Crotone
1-0
AWAY ACR Messina
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Crotone vs ACR Messina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crotone edged past ACR Messina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Crotone as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Crotone had 62% of the ball to ACR Messina's 38%, shots finished 15-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Crotone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Crotone and 1.80 for ACR Messina.

What was the final score of Crotone vs ACR Messina?

Crotone 1-0 ACR Messina in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Crotone vs ACR Messina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Crotone win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Crotone 54%, draw 23%, ACR Messina 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Crotone), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Crotone) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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