Renate 2-2 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.28
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.59
6+ Goals
12%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Renate EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +55% / +55%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Renate
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
28.10.2023 Renate Renate 2-2 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
23.12.2022 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
03.09.2022 Novara Novara 3-1 HT 0-1 Renate Renate İTC
15.03.2021 Renate Renate 1-0 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTC
15.11.2020 Novara Novara 1-2 HT 0-0 Renate Renate İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Renate
2-2
AWAY Novara
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Renate vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Renate and Novara shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Renate at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Renate had 49% of the ball to Novara's 51%, shots finished 14-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Renate had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Renate and 1.17 for Novara.

What was the final score of Renate vs Novara?

Renate 2-2 Novara in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Renate vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Renate win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Renate 41%, draw 26%, Novara 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Renate) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Renate) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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