Pontedera 1-0 Pianese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.44
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
45%
+2.7pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.8pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pontedera EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Pianese EU Bookmakers 31%
-39% / -39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-31% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pontedera
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Pianese
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
07.12.2019 Pianese Pianese 1-2 HT 0-1 Pontedera Pontedera İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pontedera
1-0
AWAY Pianese
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 10
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pontedera vs Pianese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pontedera nicked a narrow win over Pianese 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pontedera as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Pontedera had 40% of the ball to Pianese's 60%, shots finished 9-21.

What was the final score of Pontedera vs Pianese?

Pontedera 1-0 Pianese in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pontedera vs Pianese?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pontedera win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Pontedera 48%, draw 22%, Pianese 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pontedera), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pontedera) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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