AlbinoLeffe 3-2 Sestri Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.43
2-3 Goals
35%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.93
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.4pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.9pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.2pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestri Levante EU Bookmakers 29%
+41% / +41% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+39% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
298 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3-2
AWAY Sestri Levante
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Sestri Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe squeezed past Sestri Levante 3-2. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had AlbinoLeffe as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 58% of the ball to Sestri Levante's 42%, shots finished 11-4.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Sestri Levante?

AlbinoLeffe 3-2 Sestri Levante in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Sestri Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 41%, draw 31%, Sestri Levante 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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