Triestina 0-1 Trento AC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 28% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Trento AC EU Bookmakers 25%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.18/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
-90% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +75% / -25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
314 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 5.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Trento AC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.01.2024 Trento AC Trento AC 0-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
04.09.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
29.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 0-2 HT 0-1 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
24.09.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 1-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
20.03.2022 Trento AC Trento AC 2-1 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
14.11.2021 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 0-0 Trento AC Trento AC İTC
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Trento AC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trento AC nicked a narrow win over Triestina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Triestina at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Trento AC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Triestina and 1.17 for Trento AC.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Trento AC?

Triestina 0-1 Trento AC in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Trento AC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Triestina 50%, draw 24%, Trento AC 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Triestina) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Triestina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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