Atalanta II 2-1 SPAL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Pro League Cup, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.74
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY SPAL EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta II
2-1
AWAY SPAL
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Atalanta II vs SPAL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atalanta II edged past SPAL 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Atalanta II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Atalanta II had 64% of the ball to SPAL's 36%, shots finished 20-14.

What was the final score of Atalanta II vs SPAL?

Atalanta II 2-1 SPAL in the Italy - Pro League Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta II vs SPAL?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atalanta II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atalanta II 42%, draw 26%, SPAL 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atalanta II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atalanta II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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